Shrinking Asia changing global demographics
Published by
The Bangkok Post

In the politics of population, the magic number is 2.1. That is “replacement level”: if a country’s fertility rate (the average number of children a woman has in her lifetime) is 2.1, then the country’s population will remain level. Above that number, it starts to grow; below 2.1, it eventually falls. And something really significant is happening in Asia. The big news is that India’s fertility rate has now dropped below replacement level: it is 2.0 per woman. That doesn’t mean that India’s population will start falling right away. India will still overtake China and become the world’s most pop…

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